Decomposing violence: Political murder in Colombia, 1946-1999

Jurgen Brauer, Alejandro Gómez-Sorzano, Sankar Sethuraman

Research output: Contribution to journalConference articlepeer-review

12 Scopus citations


We apply the Hodrick-Prescott (HP) and Beveridge-Nelson (BN) business cycle decomposition methods to a time series of homicides in Colombia (1946-1999). Separating out "permanent" from "cyclical" murder, we hypothesize that the cyclical part coincides with the periodic political unrest in the country. The results show a good match between the political events in the country and the computed cyclical murder component.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Pages (from-to)447-461
Number of pages15
JournalEuropean Journal of Political Economy
Issue number2
StatePublished - Jun 2004
EventThe Economic COnsequences of Terror - Berlin, Germany
Duration: Jun 15 2002Jun 16 2002


  • Beveridge-Nelson
  • Business cycle
  • Colombia
  • Hodrick-Prescott
  • Homicide
  • Terrorism

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Economics and Econometrics
  • Political Science and International Relations


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