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For whom the poll airs comparing poll results to television poll coverage

*Corresponding author for this work
Scholary Output:
Contribution to journal
Article
Peer-review

Abstract

Televised election coverage is increasingly dominated by the horse race, a key element of which is poll coverage. How do news outlets decide which poll to air? We know little about the gatekeeping function of news outlets as it pertains to poll coverage, perhaps because this research is plagued by selection bias: By observing only reported polls and not unre-ported polls, researchers cannot definitively establish that any differences in representativeness are due to bias. Using a novel dataset that includes all prime-time presidential election poll coverage on Fox, MSNBC, CNN, and broadcast television networks during the 2008 election, we compare the universe of polls released each day to the polls actually covered by each news network. We find differences between the distribution of poll coverage and distribution of actual poll results. Our results suggest that both gatekeepers and reporters may have a hand in this distortion.

Publication Information

Output type

Scholary Output:
Contribution to journal
Article
Peer-review

Original language

English (US)

Pages from-to (Number of pages)

Pages 943-963 (21 pages)

Journal (Volume, Issue Number)

Public Opinion Quarterly (Volume 80, Issue 4)

Publication milestones

  • Published - 2016

Publication status

Published - 2016

ISSN

0033-362X

Publication IDs

  • Scopus: 85014407263

Publication metrics

Metrics

SciVal
FWCI
3.66
SciVal
Author count
3
SciVal
citations
19
SciVal
Paper percentile
85
Scopus
citations
Fractional count
1
Fractional count
0.33
Fractional count
2
Fractional count
0.67
Fractional count
1
Fractional count
1

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Captures
34
Citation count
32