Stationary status of discrete and continuous age-structured population models

Arni S.R. Srinivasa Rao, James R. Carey

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

From Leonhard Euler to Alfred Lotka and in recent years understanding the stationary process of the human population has been of central interest to scientists. Population reproductive measure NRR (net reproductive rate) has been widely associated with measuring the status of population stationarity and it is also included as one of the measures in the millennium development goals. This article argues how the partition theorem-based approach provides more up-to-date and timely measures to find the status of the population stationarity of a country better than the NRR-based approach. We question the timeliness of the value of NRR in deciding the stationary process of the country. We prove associated theorems on discrete and continuous age distributions and derive measurable functional properties. The partitioning metric captures the underlying age structure dynamic of populations at or near stationarity. As the population growth rates for an ever-increasing number of countries trend towards replacement levels and below, new demographic concepts and metrics are needed to better characterize this emerging global demography.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Article number109058
JournalMathematical Biosciences
Volume364
DOIs
StatePublished - Oct 2023

Keywords

  • Convergence to stationary level
  • Demography
  • Lebesgue measure
  • Net-reproduction rate
  • Partitioning

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Statistics and Probability
  • Modeling and Simulation
  • General Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology
  • General Immunology and Microbiology
  • General Agricultural and Biological Sciences
  • Applied Mathematics

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